Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.030951 0.033295 0.035638 0.038152 0.040770 0.043411 0.046275
2025-08-24 0.026353 0.030076 0.033923 0.038179 0.042739 0.047466 0.052719
2025-08-31 0.023232 0.027753 0.032544 0.037964 0.043893 0.050148 0.057218
2025-09-07 0.020924 0.026013 0.031522 0.037873 0.044935 0.052494 0.061148
2025-09-14 0.018769 0.024241 0.030288 0.037378 0.045380 0.054056 0.064098
2025-09-21 0.016952 0.022710 0.029198 0.036926 0.045766 0.055458 0.066787
2025-09-28 0.015010 0.020902 0.027676 0.035877 0.045383 0.055922 0.068358
2025-10-05 0.014274 0.020474 0.027712 0.036579 0.046958 0.058557 0.072334
2025-10-12 0.013413 0.019836 0.027451 0.036891 0.048049 0.060613 0.075635
2025-10-19 0.012361 0.018898 0.026778 0.036670 0.048479 0.061884 0.078016
2025-10-26 0.011898 0.018673 0.026947 0.037434 0.050050 0.064454 0.081875
2025-11-02 0.011221 0.018134 0.026698 0.037667 0.050970 0.066256 0.084838
2025-11-09 0.010328 0.017305 0.026101 0.037510 0.051480 0.067651 0.087427
2025-11-16 0.009552 0.016601 0.025644 0.037519 0.052194 0.069302 0.090344
2025-11-23 0.008748 0.015810 0.025036 0.037306 0.052614 0.070586 0.092814
2025-11-30 0.008061 0.015137 0.024549 0.037216 0.053159 0.072000 0.095425
2025-12-07 0.007277 0.014276 0.023773 0.036726 0.053185 0.072773 0.097261
2025-12-14 0.006573 0.013485 0.023055 0.036279 0.053238 0.073559 0.099097
2025-12-21 0.005725 0.012418 0.021915 0.035241 0.052518 0.073382 0.099762
2025-12-28 0.005507 0.012312 0.022095 0.035935 0.053979 0.075857 0.103604
2026-01-04 0.005184 0.012017 0.021994 0.036244 0.054944 0.077721 0.106708
2026-01-11 0.004725 0.011470 0.021514 0.036025 0.055219 0.078729 0.108775
2026-01-18 0.004576 0.011431 0.021757 0.036782 0.056747 0.081282 0.112714